This is different than what is widely being reported. But it makes sense to me and this comes from trusted sources.
Iran is reported to have suffered over 787 killings while the numbers are much lower for US and Isreal allies.
That's because Iran is targeting and reaching military targets. The message is not that Iran is in conflict with neighboring nations, only that Iran will not tolerate cooperation with US military forces.
As a result of this war, I predict that at a minimum, the U.S. will be pulling out of the region almost completely.
This war was not only unjustified but a huge tactical mistake. Not only will it be very difficult to "win," but such a win would take years.
And twice in a row, the USA and Israel attacked Iran during negotiations, unprovoked.
There is news that the U.S. reached out to negotiate after the first day of the campaign and Iran refused. The U.S. has proven that they are untrustworthy, and this will not only impact its reputation in this scenario but in negotiations with Russia or any other conflict.
Therefore, this war will result in regime change in the U.S., but not in Iran.
Colonel Douglas Macgregor (retired)
"All of the ports that we habitually use to replenish our naval forces and to reload our naval forces with missiles and rockets and so forth, all of those have been destroyed. We’re forced to fall back all the way to India, which is quite a distance from the region. We can fall back to Italy at this point. I think Crete may be just out of reach. But the point is that everything that we were accustomed to doing now has to change.
War has become a much more arduous task for us. We can’t manufacture missiles at a sufficiently fast rate to keep up with their expenditure. And we have been supplying vast numbers of missiles to Ukraine. Now we’re beginning to feel the pain because so much of that is gone.
They’ve not only shut down the Strait of Hormuz, they’ve also shut down the Suez Canal for all intents and purposes because they’ve shut down the Red Sea. So the commercial picture is grim. The military picture is problematic.
It won’t be long, perhaps a few more days, before we begin to more economically expend our missiles. And that means that you can’t shoot down most of what’s being shot at you. You’re talking about shooting at least two or three missiles at every incoming missile. And we still can’t target successfully and knock down hypersonic missiles. A lot of these missiles are coming in at Mach 3, 4, 5, and 6. Those speeds are beyond our technological capability to defeat."
Iran has mostly used older missiles in this conflict, but has still been effective due to sheer volume, saturation tactics, and the vulnerabilities of U.S. missile defenses. Its hypersonic missiles are a newer, more advanced capability, but Iran is likely saving them for critical moments or targets.